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Shift Happens
Posted: Wed Mar 05, 2008 4:03 pm
by os.hacker64
Posted: Wed Mar 05, 2008 4:41 pm
by Zacariaz
LOL!
Though i doubt that all the information is correct (i do keep a close eye on thing, it's more or less my only occupation) it is chocking!
As for the power of computer (i forgots the name)'s law, which states that computing power will double ever 18 months, will probably brake down in less that 20 years. By then our only option, enless some comes up with another solution, is the "Quantum Computer and/or the "Ballistic Deflection Transistor".
As for the Quantum computer progress is made. Last i heard, though this is very old news, they succeded in calculating that 3 * 5 = 15 by the use of only 7 atoms, and as for the balistic deflection transistor, i haven heard of any progress.
That was for the part of computers succeding the human brain, which i believe will happen, but i dare not say when.
Posted: Mon Mar 10, 2008 11:16 am
by JAAman
As for the power of computer (i forgots the name)'s law, which states that computing power will double ever 18 months
... actually, that is a common miss-quote -- the original statement (Moore's law -- named after intel co-founder Gordon Moore) said the number of transistors in silicon chips (nothing to do with either 'speed' or 'power') had been doubling every 18-24 months, and would continue to do so -- actually, i believe this statement was was actually made about RAM -- not CPUs (even today, RAM chips pack far more transistors into much smaller packages than even the most complex CPUs)
will probably brake down in less that 20 years.
that is exactly what industry experts said 20 years ago -- as late as the early-1990s, most experts in silicon technology said that Moores law would 'break' by the year 2000 at the latest... and we would have to look to quantum computing to extend further -- but that didnt happened