Ok, we got a bit off-topic but I don't mind at all because this is a civilized and very interesting conversation.
nullplan wrote:Same facts, different interpretations.
Nope. They both agree on the two facts, nobody questions those. Creating a correlation between two events can't be a fact, simply because that needs
deduction. For example
p = changed measure (that's one fact nobody questions),
q = dropped crime rate (that's another fact nobody questions), but
p R q isn't a fact, rather an (unknown) relation between these two facts. In your example they interpret
R differently, not
p neither
q.
Haven't you had to do relation analysis tests at school? We had them a lot in every class, and we hated it very much. It's a kind of test with many statements each with two parts, and the students had to answer to each sentence with a letter from A to E.
A = both first and second part are false,
B = first part is true second isn't,
C = first part is false, second is true,
D = both parts are true but there's no relation,
E = both parts are true and there's a relation
For example: "the leaves are green because they are using photosynthesis to absorb energy", the answer is E, both parts are true and there's a relation (the green color is made by the frequency of the energy not used by chemical reaction creating anedosine tri-phosphate from cyclic anedosine mono-phosphate.)
Another example: "Van Gogh painted smells because Rembrandt liked space-ships", obviously the answer is B.
nullplan wrote:The correct, independent conclusion is of course that not enough data is available to make the call at this point
Yes, exactly, with my previous example
R relation is unknown (relation analysis could be both D or E and would need more info to tell), however this does not change the two facts in any way. Those remain true, no matter if there's a relation between them or not.
nullplan wrote:The Chinese government is many things, but deluded is not one of them.
Oh, but they are in many ways. For example they think burning coal won't have any consequence and they can get away with it. They can't, and it will have consequences, and the price will be very very very high, measured in human lives.
nullplan wrote:They denied the existence of the virus out of political reasons, not for mental illness.
Sadly in the XXI century that's the same. Show me one politician who isn't mentally ill (not a greedy sociopath or even worse a psychopath at all). I wish I were wrong about this, but all politicians all around the world show the symptoms of mental illness alright. USA is no exception.
nullplan wrote:There is a big difference between someone who lies for a reason and a person who lies because they cannot help it.
No, the only difference is if the mental illness is socio- or psychopathic (lies for a reason in self-interest not caring about the consequences to others) or delusional (not knowing that they are brainwashed and unable to recognize the facts). In both case there's a mental illness that fits.
Finally about the doctors: what makes them mentally ill is
their reaction when they ignored Ignác Semmelweiss' empiric observations, and not accepting the facts when those were presented to them (an empiric observation which can be repeated is always a fact).
Cheers,
bzt